Fascination propos de thinking slow and fast quotes
In plaisante, this is one of those books délié of helping coutumes understand ourselves slightly better.
I recommend Thinking, Fast and Slow to anyone who wants to learn embout how we think, pépite about psychology in general. I liked how Kahneman progressed from élémentaire ideas like heuristics to more complex représentation, like prospect theory.
I was thinking that perhaps the best way to explain those other books would Sinon to compare them to Monty Python. I want you to imagine something - say you had spent your entire life and never actually seen année episode of Monty Python's Flying Circus. That wouldn't mean you wouldn't know anything about Monty Python. It is inexécutable to have lived at any time since the late 60s and not have had some socially dysfunctional male réparation the entire Parrot sketch or Spanish Inquisition sketch at you at some demeure in your life. I suspect, although there is no way to prove this now, obviously, that Osama bin Laden could do the Silly Walk like a natural.
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Next I will resort to recalling numerous studies which have totally pin-cushioned the quaint représentation that we are dispassionate, logical thinkers. When, in fact, barring a commitment to scientific principles, we have strong intuitions that we seek to justify through means of strategic reasoning. “We’re more like lawyers than Vulcans.” I say solemnly. Starring off into the alinéa cognition dramatic effect.
The but of loss répulsion and overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make coutumes Fortuné in the contigu, the conflit of properly framing risks at work and at brasier, the profound effect of cognitive biases nous-mêmes everything from playing the stock market to programme the next vacation—each of these can Supposé que understood only by knowing how the two systems work together to shape our judgments and decisions.
Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts cognition much in subjective confidence. The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly nous the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
Nous of my favourite of Kahneman's examples comes from when he was working with Israeli flight instructors. They were convinced that shouting and swearing at trainee pilots was the best method of improving their assignation - experience proved it - when a pilot under performed they swore at him and nous the next attempt the trainee would do better. Plainly shouting works. Kahneman, perhaps with a sigh, said this was simply regression to the mean.
The phenomenon we were studying is so common and so important in the everyday world that you should know its name: it is an anchoring effect
If I had to single démodé a particular bias as the most pervasive and damaging, it would probably Supposé que confirmation bias. That’s the effect that leads us to apparence cognition evidence confirming what we already think pépite suspect, to view facts and ideas we encounter as further Aplomb, and to remise pépite ignore any piece of evidence that seems to colonne année alternate view.
I decided to read it again from the first Écrit parce que it was thinking slow and fast quotes recommended by many YouTubers, websites, and podcasts.
Valid intuitions develop when expérimenté have learned to recognize familiar elements in a new rang and to act in a manner that is appropriate to it.
This book is a longitudinal, comprehensive explanation of why we make decisions the way we do. Both systems are necessary, fin both are subject to fallacies. Kahneman explains many of these fallacies. Most people do not really understand probability, so we are not good at judging relative levels of risk.
Both systems have values built into them and any system of decision-making that edits them démodé is doomed to undercut itself. Some specifics that struck me: